With his fifth pole position in a row, Nico Rosberg may be reflecting on how he could have made Lewis Hamilton work a bit harder for the 2015 championship if he’d hit this kind of form sooner.
In the face of this setback Hamilton was careful not to repeat his pre-race remarks about how eager he is to finally win in Brazil, home of his hero Ayrton Senna. “My main job is done this year,” he pointed out after qualifying. But following up his championship triumph with successive defeats to his team mate is definitely not in his game plan.
As Hamilton admitted after qualifying, if he isn’t able to get past Rosberg at the start, the fact they are so closely matched on performance will make it difficult for him to do so in the race. This was the problem he had at the last race in Mexico and this same race 12 months ago.
Just as then, Hamilton’s best opportunity is likely to come around the pit stops. However with both drivers having to start on the soft tyre, two-stops being the preferred strategy and the medium compound tyres offering better performance over a stint, Hamilton may find himself with little alternative other than to mimic Rosberg’s tactics.
If you find the prospect of another battle for victory conducted exclusively between the two silver cars, the world champion sympathises. “I would much prefer to be racing with five or ten drivers,” he said in the press conference after qualifying, “but it’s just not how Formula One is.”
There’s no denying that, on paper, this is hardly shaping up to be a classic race. Ferrari have the second row to themselves and aren’t likely to face too much competitive from Nico Hulkenberg, a strong fifth for Force India, or Daniil Kvyat’s Red Bull.
The main points of interest should come from Valtteri Bottas, who is quick enough to take on the Ferraris but was moved back due to a penalty, and Daniel Ricciardo who starts from the back row with Renault’s new engine in his Red Bull. However there’s little to suggest the revised engine is the answer to their problems – he was 0.4kph slower than Kvyat’s old-engined car in qualifying.
Rain is not expected during the race but the ambient temperature is expected to be significantly cooler, by around seven to ten degrees Celsius. This will inevitably have an effect on the ever-critical operating windows for the tyres. On a weekend when most teams have found their tyre temperatures rising too quickly, they could be about to experience the opposite.
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Qualifying times in full
Driver | Car | Q1 | Q2 (vs Q1) | Q3 (vs Q2) | |
1 | Nico Rosberg | Mercedes | 1’11.746 | 1’12.213 (+0.467) | 1’11.282 (-0.931) |
2 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | 1’11.682 | 1’11.665 (-0.017) | 1’11.360 (-0.305) |
3 | Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari | 1’12.240 | 1’11.928 (-0.312) | 1’11.804 (-0.124) |
4 | Valtteri Bottas | Williams | 1’12.934 | 1’12.374 (-0.560) | 1’12.085 (-0.289) |
5 | Kimi Raikkonen | Ferrari | 1’12.185 | 1’12.243 (+0.058) | 1’12.144 (-0.099) |
6 | Nico Hulkenberg | Force India | 1’12.595 | 1’12.485 (-0.110) | 1’12.265 (-0.220) |
7 | Daniil Kvyat | Red Bull | 1’12.730 | 1’12.527 (-0.203) | 1’12.322 (-0.205) |
8 | Felipe Massa | Williams | 1’12.980 | 1’12.858 (-0.122) | 1’12.415 (-0.443) |
9 | Daniel Ricciardo | Red Bull | 1’12.639 | 1’12.825 (+0.186) | 1’12.417 (-0.408) |
10 | Max Verstappen | Toro Rosso | 1’12.824 | 1’12.712 (-0.112) | 1’12.739 (+0.027) |
11 | Felipe Nasr | Sauber | 1’13.111 | 1’12.989 (-0.122) | |
12 | Carlos Sainz Jnr | Toro Rosso | 1’13.267 | 1’13.045 (-0.222) | |
13 | Sergio Perez | Force India | 1’13.140 | 1’13.147 (+0.007) | |
14 | Marcus Ericsson | Sauber | 1’13.346 | 1’13.233 (-0.113) | |
15 | Romain Grosjean | Lotus | 1’13.056 | 1’13.913 (+0.857) | |
16 | Pastor Maldonado | Lotus | 1’13.385 | ||
17 | Jenson Button | McLaren | 1’13.425 | ||
18 | Alexander Rossi | Manor | 1’16.151 | ||
19 | Will Stevens | Manor | 1’16.283 | ||
20 | Fernando Alonso | McLaren |
Sector times
Driver | Sector 1 | Sector 2 | Sector 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Nico Rosberg | 17.933 (1) | 36.940 (1) | 16.409 (2) |
Lewis Hamilton | 17.991 (2) | 36.951 (2) | 16.281 (1) |
Sebastian Vettel | 18.025 (3) | 37.175 (3) | 16.475 (4) |
Valtteri Bottas | 18.042 (4) | 37.537 (7) | 16.506 (7) |
Kimi Raikkonen | 18.048 (5) | 37.383 (5) | 16.501 (6) |
Nico Hulkenberg | 18.101 (6) | 37.632 (9) | 16.437 (3) |
Daniil Kvyat | 18.244 (9) | 37.355 (4) | 16.723 (8) |
Felipe Massa | 18.125 (7) | 37.802 (10) | 16.488 (5) |
Daniel Ricciardo | 18.180 (8) | 37.490 (6) | 16.747 (11) |
Max Verstappen | 18.287 (12) | 37.546 (8) | 16.799 (15) |
Felipe Nasr | 18.314 (14) | 37.884 (14) | 16.730 (10) |
Carlos Sainz Jnr | 18.299 (13) | 37.821 (11) | 16.867 (17) |
Sergio Perez | 18.248 (10) | 38.020 (16) | 16.723 (8) |
Marcus Ericsson | 18.360 (16) | 37.999 (15) | 16.794 (14) |
Romain Grosjean | 18.254 (11) | 37.821 (11) | 16.756 (12) |
Pastor Maldonado | 18.344 (15) | 38.155 (17) | 16.768 (13) |
Jenson Button | 18.498 (17) | 37.879 (13) | 16.845 (16) |
Alexander Rossi | 19.190 (20) | 39.497 (18) | 17.306 (18) |
Will Stevens | 19.079 (19) | 39.791 (19) | 17.366 (19) |
Fernando Alonso | 18.757 (18) | 51.717 (20) | 20.623 (20) |
Speed trap
Pos | Driver | Car | Engine | Speed (kph/mph) | Gap |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sergio Perez | Force India | Mercedes | 340.1 (211.3) | |
2 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | Mercedes | 339.4 (210.9) | -0.7 |
3 | Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari | Ferrari | 338.5 (210.3) | -1.6 |
4 | Felipe Massa | Williams | Mercedes | 338.2 (210.1) | -1.9 |
5 | Romain Grosjean | Lotus | Mercedes | 336.5 (209.1) | -3.6 |
6 | Nico Rosberg | Mercedes | Mercedes | 336.5 (209.1) | -3.6 |
7 | Valtteri Bottas | Williams | Mercedes | 336.1 (208.8) | -4.0 |
8 | Nico Hulkenberg | Force India | Mercedes | 335.1 (208.2) | -5.0 |
9 | Daniil Kvyat | Red Bull | Renault | 335.1 (208.2) | -5.0 |
10 | Daniel Ricciardo | Red Bull | Renault | 334.7 (208.0) | -5.4 |
11 | Felipe Nasr | Sauber | Ferrari | 331.5 (206.0) | -8.6 |
12 | Kimi Raikkonen | Ferrari | Ferrari | 329.8 (204.9) | -10.3 |
13 | Marcus Ericsson | Sauber | Ferrari | 328.3 (204.0) | -11.8 |
14 | Carlos Sainz Jnr | Toro Rosso | Renault | 326.7 (203.0) | -13.4 |
15 | Max Verstappen | Toro Rosso | Renault | 325.7 (202.4) | -14.4 |
16 | Pastor Maldonado | Lotus | Mercedes | 323.9 (201.3) | -16.2 |
17 | Jenson Button | McLaren | Honda | 319.5 (198.5) | -20.6 |
18 | Will Stevens | Manor | Ferrari | 314.5 (195.4) | -25.6 |
19 | Fernando Alonso | McLaren | Honda | 314.5 (195.4) | -25.6 |
20 | Alexander Rossi | Manor | Ferrari | 306.5 (190.5) | -33.6 |
Over to you
Which of the Mercedes drivers do you think will come out on top? And who else can spring a surprise at Interlagos?
Share your views on the Brazilian Grand Prix in the comments.
2015 Brazilian Grand Prix
- Verstappen takes third Driver of the Weekend win
- The 2015 turn-off goes on in Brazil
- Top ten pictures from the 2015 Brazilian Grand Prix
- 2015 Brazilian Grand Prix Predictions Championship results
- 2015 Brazilian Grand Prix team radio transcript
lockup (@)
15th November 2015, 0:20
Rosberg controls the stint lengths so it’ll be easy for him to make sure the old tyres are good and slow for Lewis’ inlap when he stops for a set of quick new ones. I’m not expecting too much to be honest. The TV director will flit incoherently around the midfield giving us replays of the last seconds of a few moves missing the skilful bits that set it up.
Still, there can always be a surprise, so I’ll be glued as ever.
AdrianMorse (@adrianmorse)
15th November 2015, 6:56
@lockup,
it may not be quite as simple as that. Last year, Hamilton had enough of a speed advantage that he could do a fastest lap when Rosberg came in for tyres.
However, I do agree that it’s unlikely to pass at the pit stops. If Hamilton has the same pace advantage as last year, it might be better to try to lengthen his stints, to be able to harry Rosberg with new tyres all stint long.
lockup (@)
15th November 2015, 7:28
Yeah you’re right @adrianmorse, tho thinking about it of course they don’t choose the strategist does. Perhaps he’ll do us a favour.
BasCB (@bascb)
15th November 2015, 11:11
Hm, but so far this year we have seen Rosberg catch up on Hamilton with tyre wear compared to last year. In Mexico they were about the same – Rosberg had % left on his first set of tyres, while Hamilton was down to “%” after doing another laps on those same tyres (more or less the scenario @lockup mentions) @adrianmorse
Anthony
15th November 2015, 2:28
Please rain. Please, please rain.
Stephen Crowsen (@drycrust)
15th November 2015, 5:04
I don’t know why it is that (Q1 aside) Daniel Ricciardo was slower in times and in the speed trap than Daniil Kvyat, because Ricciardo is using the new Renault engine, not the old one.
Jake
15th November 2015, 5:43
I don’t buy too much into Ricciardo’s performance to judge the new Renault power unit. Coming into the race redbull’s were well aware that, they are gonna take that penalty. So it is clear their concentration was on the race rather than the quali. So that might be a reason for it. At least they spend around 11 tokens ;)
david white
15th November 2015, 9:09
So Hamilton was 1/2 a tenth faster based on best sector times i.e. he didn’t pull it all together as well as Nico in Q3. My feeling is that Hamilton has better underlying pace (albeit not massive) over Rosberg. He needs to think carefully about when to pull the trigger and use it in the race to get the jump.
Atticus (@atticus-2)
15th November 2015, 9:48
I will have no problem with the race if Rosberg’s in front – Hamilton is generally quicker, so he’ll likely keep within touching distance and the suspense of whether Rosberg cracks under pressure as in Austin, or not as in Mexico will be rather tense to watch.
Of course, if Hamilton gets by, it’s utter boredom as he know Rosberg is next to unable to pass him on track.
Keeping an eye on the recoveries of Ricciardo and Bottas as well as the Lotus (who showed great one-lap and long run pace right up until they’ve messed up quali) will be fun as well.
I don’t think this will be a dull race.
Atticus (@atticus-2)
15th November 2015, 9:50
Oh, and Ricciardo should be able to pick out opponents surprisingly easy judging by his top speed (achieved with medium downforce rear wings and no monkey seat instead of an upturn in performance by Renault, mind you).
markp
15th November 2015, 10:11
Kyvatt would of made better use of the new engine. He is better. Ricciardo will ram someone and break his wing like usual.
Uzair Syed (@ultimateuzair)
15th November 2015, 13:46
Ricciardo is better than Kvyat IMO. Most of the incidents involving Ricciardo were not his fault. Ricciardo has been more unlucky than Kvyat this season, which is why he is behind in the points. Don’t forget that he beat Vettel last year.
Craig Woollard (@craig-o)
15th November 2015, 10:34
Another thing worth noting is that Rosberg’s first set of tyres will be in better shape than Hamilton’s as he didn’t push as hard in Q2. I have a feeling that this race might be won already in normal circumstances. Hopefully Bottas and Ricciardo can produce at least some sort of entertainment.
Shashank
15th November 2015, 11:03
Rosberg did push (or rather, didn’t hold back as the times would suggest) in Q2, he just had woeful understeer in sector 2 – see the onboard / overhead shots. The front was sliding away, apexes were nowhere to be found, there was also a minor lock-up somewhere (nothing significant enough to flat-spot, though). I was pretty sure he’d have to go again (there was also radio chatter of a cool down + another hot lap; Rosberg overruled that), but the horsepower advantage of Mercedes ensured that it wasn’t necessary.
Ferit
15th November 2015, 10:38
Why is Raikkonen so slow in the speed trap? That is a masive diference between him and Vettel
Park
15th November 2015, 11:17
The Speed trap data is not representative any more. Basically, all the cars start to brake before that point as Senna S has been tighter corners.
Iestyn Davies (@fastiesty)
15th November 2015, 14:42
Interesting to note that Rosberg got a perfect lap, while Lewis left 0.14 on the table to his best sectors (1:11.223). But yes, they should move the speed trap back a bit, maybe it’s still configured for the pre-hybrid era lower top speeds.
Jayd
15th November 2015, 14:12
Can someone please explain how anyone cannot atleast admit it is very questionable how toto and Hamilton have been acting since Hamilton won the chamiponship. Like for me it’s clear to see in black and white. Hamilton is clearly rattled and toto is throwing around comments like “this is a team excercise Lewis is aware” “we have a guy at the back of the garage who needs to finish second in the constructors” am I missing something or is doe thing clearly going on?
Jayd
15th November 2015, 14:12
Something*